The Cost of Timing the Market
Value of ₹1,00,000 Invested in NIFTY50 Since 1999
Understanding the Impact
This chart shows how missing the best trading days affects a ₹1,00,000 investment in the NIFTY50 index since 1999. Each bar represents a scenario where the top-performing days are excluded, highlighting the final value and compound annual growth rate (CAGR).
All Days Invested: Staying fully invested grew ₹1,00,000 to ₹26,18,830, with a CAGR of 13.4%.
Missed Best 10 Days: Missing the top 10 days reduced the value to ₹11,70,042 (CAGR 9.9%), a loss of ₹14,48,788 compared to full investment.
Missed Best 20 Days: Missing 20 days resulted in ₹6,57,128 (CAGR 7.5%), ₹19,61,702 less than the baseline.
Missed Best 30 Days: Excluding 30 days yielded ₹3,91,682 (CAGR 5.4%), a ₹22,27,148 shortfall.
Missed Best 40 Days: Missing 40 days left ₹2,44,704 (CAGR 3.5%), down by ₹23,74,126.
Missed Best 50 Days: Missing 50 days dropped the value to ₹1,60,550 (CAGR 1.8%), a ₹24,58,280 loss.
Key Takeaway: Missing just a few of the best trading days can slash your returns significantly. The top 10 days alone account for nearly half the gains, underscoring the danger of trying to time the market.
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